目录 1 Probability and Measure 1.1 Measures 1.2 Integration 1.3 Events, Probabilities, and Random Variables 1.4 Null Sets 1.5 Densities 1.6 Expectation 1.7 Random Vectors 1.8 Covariance Matrices 1.9 Product Measures and Independence 1.10 Conditional Distributions 1.11 Problems 2 Exponential Families 2.1 Densities and Parameters 2.2 Differential Identities 2.3 Dominated Convergence 2.4 Moments, Cumulants, and Generating Functions 2.5 Problems 3 Risk, Sufficiency, Completeness, and Ancillarity 3.1 Models, Estimators, and Risk Functions 3.2 Sufficient Statistics 3.3 Factorization Theorem 3.4 Minimal Sufficiency 3.5 Completeness 3.6 Convex Loss and the Rao-Blackwell Theorem 3.7 Problems 4 Unbiased Estimation 4.1 Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimators 4.2 Second Thoughts About Bias 4.3 Normal One-Sample Problem--Distribution Theory 4.4 Normal One-Sample Problem--Estimation 4.5 Variance Bounds and Information 4.6 Variance Bounds in Higher Dimensions 4.7 Problems 5 Curved Exponential Families 5.1 Constrained Families 5.2 Sequential Experiments 5.3 Multinomial Distribution and Contingency Tables 5.4 Problems 6 Conditional Distributions 6.1 Joint and Marginal Densities 6.2 Conditional Distributions 6.3 Building Models 6.4 Proof of the Factorization Theorem 6.5 Problems 7 Bayesian Estimation 7.1 Bayesian Models and the Main Result 7.2 Examples 7.3 Utility Theory 7.4 Problems 8 Large-Sample Theory 8.1 Convergence in Probability 8.2 Convergence in Distribution 8.3 Maximum Likelihood Estimation 8.4 Medians and Percentiles 8.5 Asymptotic Relative Efficiency 8.6 Scales of Magnitude 8.7 Almost Sure Convergence 8.8 Problems 9 Estimating Equations and Maximum Likelihood 9.1 Weak Law for Random Functions 9.2 Consistency of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator 9.3 Limiting Distribution for the MLE 9.4 Confidence Intervals 9.5 Asymptotic Confidence Intervals 9.6 EM Algorithm: Estimation from Incomplete Data 9.7 Limiting Distributions in Higher Dimensions 9.8 M-Estimators for a Location Parameter 9.9 Models with Dependent Observations 9.10 Problems 10 Equivariant Estimation 10.1 Group Structure 10.2 Estimation 10.3 Problems 11 Empirical Bayes and Shrinkage Estimators 11.1 Empirical Bayes Estimation 11.2 Risk of the James-Stein Estimator 11.3 Decision Theory 11.4 Problems 12 Hypothesis Testing 12.1 Test Functions, Power, and Significance 12.2 Simple Versus Simple Testing 12.3 Uniformly Most Powerful Tests 12.4 Duality Between Testing and Interval Estimation 12.5 Generalized Neyman-Pearson Lemma 12.6 Two-Sided Hypotheses 12.7 Unbiased Tests 12.8 Problems 13 Optimal Tests in Higher Dimensions 13.1 Marginal and Conditional Distributions 13.2 UMP Unbiased Tests in Higher Dimensions 13.3 Examples 13.4 Problems 14 General Linear Model 14.1 Canonical Form 14.2 Estimation 14.3 Gauss-Markov Theorem 14.4 Estimating σ2 14.5 Simple Linear Regression 14.6 Noncentral F and Chi-Square Distributions 14.7 Testing in the General Linear Model 14.8 Simultaneous Confidence Intervals 14.9 Problems 15 Bayesian Inference: Modeling and Computation 15.1 Hierarchical Models 15.2 Bayesian Robustness 15.3 Markov Chains 15.4 Metropolis-Hastings Algorithm 15.5 Gibbs Sampler 15.6 Image Restoration 15.7 Problems 16 Asymptotic Optimality 16.1 Superefficiency 16.2 Contiguity 16.3 Local Asymptotic Normality 16.4 Minimax Estimation of a Normal Mean 16.5 Posterior Distributions 16.6 Locally Asymptotically Minimax Estimation 16.7 Problems 17 Large-Sample Theory for Likelihood Ratio Tests 17.1 Generalized Likelihood Ratio Tests 17.2 Asymptotic Distribution of 2 log A 17.3 Examples 17.4 Wald and Score Tests 17.5 Problems 18 Nonparametric Regression 18.1 Kernel Methods 18.2 Hilbert Spaces 18.3 Splines 18.4 Density Estimation 18.5 Problems 19 Bootstrap Methods 19.1 Introduction 19.2 Bias Reduction 19.3 Parametric Bootstrap Confidence Intervals 19.4 Nonparametric Accuracy for Averages 19.5 Problems 20 Sequential Methods 20.1 Fixed Width Confidence Intervals 20.2 Stopping Times and Likelihoods 20.3 Optimal Stopping 20.4 Sequential Probability Ratio Test 20.5 Sequential Design 20.6 Problems A Appendices A.1 Functions A.2 Topology and Continuity in Rn A.3 Vector Spaces and the Geometry of Rn A.4 Manifolds and Tangent Spaces A.5 Taylor Expansion for Functions of Several Variables A.6 Inverting a Partitioned Matrix A.7 Central Limit Theory A.7.1 Characteristic Functions A.7.2 Central Limit Theorem A.7.3 Extensions B Solutions B.1 Problems of Chapter 1 B.2 Problems of Chapter 2 B.3 Problems of Chapter 3 B.4 Problems of Chapter 4 B.5 Problems of Chapter 5 B.6 Problems of Chapter 6 B.7 Problems of Chapter 7 B.8 Problems of Chapter 8 B.9 Problems of Chapter 9 B.10 Problems of Chapter 10 B.11 Problems of Chapter 11 B.12 Problems of Chapter 12 B.13 Problems of Chapter 13 B.14 Problems of Chapter 14 B.17 Problems of Chapter 17 References Index
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