Since2014,China,drawingupontheexperienceandpracticesofcountrieswithmaturemarketeconomytoguidemarketexpectation,hasconvenedtheChinaAgriculturalOutlookConferenceandreleasedtheChinaAgriculturalOutlookReportforthreeconsecutiveyears;inparticular,theChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2015-2024)releasedinthenameoftheMarketEarlyWarningExpertCommittee,MinistryofAgriculturein2015hasprovidedimportantreferencefordomesticmarketplayersandrelevantsectorsregardingadjustingtheexpectationofagriculturalmarket.Theyear2016markstheopeningofthe13thFive-YearPlan(FYP)periodandisalsothekeystageforsupply-sidestructuralreformsinagriculture.ThefurtherimprovementofthesystemofChinaagriculturaloutlookandthereleaseoftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025)isanimportantmeasuretoimplementarangeofimportantdevelopmentstrategiesandarrangements,includingSeveralOpinionsoftheCentralCommitteeofCPCandtheStateCouncilonPromotingtheReformofPriceMechanism,SeveralOpinionsoftheCPCCentralCommitteeandtheStateCouncilontheImplementationofNewConceptsontheDevelopmentandtheAccelerationoftheAgriculturalModernizationfortheRealizationofModerateProsperityinAllRespects,GuidanceoftheStateCouncilonAdvancingtheInternetPlusInitiativeandCircularoftheStateCouncilonPrintingandIssuingtheActionOutlineforPromotingBigDataDevelopment,andisofcrucialimportancetoreviewthe12thFYPperiodandplanforagriculturaldevelopmentinthe13thFYPperiod.ThebasicconclusionoftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025)isthebaselineprojectionmadebyexpertsandrelevantsectors,adoptingtheChinaAgriculturalMonitoringandEarly-warningSystem(CAMES),developedbytheAgriculturalMonitoringandEarly-warningTeamofAgriculturalInformationInsituteofCAAS,onthebasisoftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2015-2024),takingintoconsiderationdevelopmentsofmarket,policy,climateandmacroeconomicsofthepreviousyear,andbasedonspecificassumptionsofmacroeconomics,agriculturalpolicies,climateconditions,innovationofscienceandtechnology,resourceendowmentandchangesofinternationalmarkets.BaselinedatamainlycomesfromstatisticsreleasedbyChinastatisticsdepartmentsandtheagriculturalmarketmonitoringdatareleasedbyagriculturaldepartments,andalsoincludesfieldinvestigationdataaccumulatedbyrelevantresearchinstitutions.TheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025),inparticular,reviewedthesituationofagriculturalmarketinChinaduringthe12thFYPperiod,madeprojectionsonthefeaturesandtrendoftheoperationofChina'sagriculturalmarketduringthe13thFYPperiod,thuswillprovideimportantreferenceforthedevelopmentandimplementationofthenewFYP.TheMarketEarlyWarningExpertCommitteeofMOAreviewedandapprovedthebasicconclusionoftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025).TheCommitteeiscomposedofexpertsandacademiciansfromthefollowingentities:DepartmentofAgriculturalEconomy,NDRC,DepartmentofEconomyandTrade,NDRC,AcademyofMacroeconomicResearch,NDRC,CirculationIndustryPromotionCenter,MOFCOM,ChinaNationalGrainandOilsInformationCenter,RenminUniversityofChina,ChineseAcademyofSocialSciences(CASS),UniversityofInternationalBusinessandEconomics,ShanghaiJiaoTongUniversity,DepartmentofSectoralPolicyandLaw,MOA,DepartmentofMarketandEconomicInformation,MOA,DepartmentofDevelopmentandPlanning,MOA,DepartmentofCropProduction,MOA,DepartmentofAnimalProduction,MOA,FisheriesBureau,MOA,RuralEconomyResearchCenter,MOA,InformationCenter,MOA,AgriculturalTradePromotionCenter,MOA,InstituteofAgriculturalEconomicsandDevelopment,CAAS,andAgricultureInformationInstitute,CAAS.ExpertsofthesystemofindustrialtechnologiesofmodernagriculturehavemadeimportantcontributionstotheOutlookReportintermsoftheprovisionofdataandthediscussionandrevisionofOutlookconclusions.EverychapteroftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025)hasbeenbasedonyearsofstudyofproductanalystsandthedistillationoftheirhardworkandwisdom.Tob
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