• 中国农业展望报告:2017-2026:2017-2026:英文版9787511630179
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中国农业展望报告:2017-2026:2017-2026:英文版9787511630179

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97.2 1.9折 500 全新

库存7件

广东广州
认证卖家担保交易快速发货售后保障

作者农业部市场预警专家委员会著

出版社中国农业科学技术出版社

ISBN9787511630179

出版时间2016-08

装帧平装

开本16开

定价500元

货号8941998

上书时间2025-01-08

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Table of ContentsChapter 1 Overview 11.1 Environment of macroeconomic and social development in the future ten years 11.1.1 Chinas economy maintains mid to high growth rate......................................................................................................................................................... 11.1.2 Chinese population will continue to grow............................................................................................................................................................................ 41.1.3 CIP will show a trend of mild increase................................................................................................................................................................................... 91.1.4 Crude oil price will be low in the beginning and high in the end................................................................................................................................. 101.1.5 The income of urban and rural residents continues to grow........................................................................................................................................ 111.1.6 The RMB exchange rate will be steadily weakened......................................................................................................................................................... 131.2 Chinas agricultural development situations in the future ten years and during the 13th FYP period 141.2.1 Chinas agricultural development amidst rare opportunities........................................................................................................................................ 141.2.2 Major challenges for agricultural development in China................................................................................................................................................ 151.2.3 Arduous tasks for agricultural development in China..................................................................................................................................................... 15Chapter 2 Cereals 182.1 Rice 182.1.1 General outlook 182.1.2 Production outlook 192.1.3 Consumption outlook 212.1.4 Trade outlook 222.1.5 Price outlook 232.2 Wheat 232.2.1 General outlook 242.2.2 Production outlook 242.2.3 Consumption outlook 252.2.4 Trade outlook 262.2.5 Price outlook 272.3 Corn 272.3.1 General outlook 282.3.2 Production outlook 282.3.3 Consumption outlook 312.3.4 Trade outlook 322.3.5 Price outlook 33Chapter 3 Oil 343.1 Soybean 343.1.1 General outlook 343.1.2 Production outlook 353.1.3 Consumption outlook 363.1.4 Trade outlook 373.1.5 Price outlook 383.2 Oilseeds and oilseed products 393.2.1 General outlook 403.2.2 Production outlook 413.2.3 Consumption outlook 423.2.4 Trade outlook 433.2.5 Price outlook 43Chapter 4 Cotton 454.1 General outlook 454.2 Production outlook 464.3 Consumption outlook 484.4 Trade outlook 494.5 Price outlook 50Chapter 5 Sugar 525.1 General outlook 525.2 Production outlook 535.3 Consumption outlook 545.4 Trade outlook 555.5 Price outlook 56Chapter 6 Vegetables 576.1 General outlook 586.2 Production outlook 606.3 Consumption outlook 616.4 Trade outlook 636.5 Price outlook 64Chapter 7 Fruits 667.1 General outlook 667.2 Production outlook 677.3 Consumption outlook 697.4 Trade outlook 717.5 Price outlook 728.1 Pork 748.1.1 General outlook 748.1.2 Production outlook.............................................................................. 768.1.3 Consumption outlook............................................................................. 778.1.4 Trade outlook 798.1.5 Price outlook 798.2 Poultry 808.2.1 General outlook 818.2.2 Production outlook 828.2.3 Consumption outlook 838.2.4 Trade outlook 848.2.5 Price outlook 858.3 Beef and mutton 868.3.1 General outlook 868.3.2 Production outlook 878.3.3 Consumption outlook 898.3.4 Trade outlook 908.3.5 Price outlook 90Chapter 9 Poultry eggs 929.1 General outlook................................................................................. 929.2 Production outlook.............................................................................. 949.3 Consumption outlook............................................................................. 959.4 Trade outlook 979.5 Price outlook................................................................................... 97Chapter 10 Dairy 10010.1 General outlook................................................................................ 10010.2 Production outlook............................................................................. 10110.3 Consumption outlook............................................................................ 10310.4 Trade outlook.................................................................................. 10510.5 Price outlook.................................................................................. 106Chapter 11 Aquatic products 10711.1 General outlook 10711.2 Production outlook 10811.3 Consumption outlook 11111.4 Trade outlook 11311.5 Price outlook 114Chapter 12 Feed 11612.1 General outlook................................................................................ 11612.2 Production outlook............................................................................. 11712.3 Consumption outlook............................................................................ 11912.4 Price outlook.................................................................................. 121Annex: Supply-demand balance sheet of major agricultural commodities 122










内容摘要
 农业部市场预警专家委员会著的《中国农业展望报告(2017-2026)(英文版)》以中国粮食、棉花、油料、糖料、蔬菜、水果、肉类、禽蛋、奶制品、水产品、饲料等产品为对象,对2016年市场形势进行了回顾分析,基于未来10年中国宏观经济社会发展和农业发展环境条件的合理假设,综合CAMES模型基线预测和有关专家的分析判断,对2017年、“十三五”期末和未来10年生产、消费、贸易、价格走势进行了系统
展望。

精彩内容



  Since2014,China,drawingupontheexperienceandpracticesofcountrieswithmaturemarketeconomytoguidemarketexpectation,hasconvenedtheChinaAgriculturalOutlookConferenceandreleasedtheChinaAgriculturalOutlookReportforthreeconsecutiveyears;inparticular,theChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2015-2024)releasedinthenameoftheMarketEarlyWarningExpertCommittee,MinistryofAgriculturein2015hasprovidedimportantreferencefordomesticmarketplayersandrelevantsectorsregardingadjustingtheexpectationofagriculturalmarket.Theyear2016markstheopeningofthe13thFive-YearPlan(FYP)periodandisalsothekeystageforsupply-sidestructuralreformsinagriculture.ThefurtherimprovementofthesystemofChinaagriculturaloutlookandthereleaseoftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025)isanimportantmeasuretoimplementarangeofimportantdevelopmentstrategiesandarrangements,includingSeveralOpinionsoftheCentralCommitteeofCPCandtheStateCouncilonPromotingtheReformofPriceMechanism,SeveralOpinionsoftheCPCCentralCommitteeandtheStateCouncilontheImplementationofNewConceptsontheDevelopmentandtheAccelerationoftheAgriculturalModernizationfortheRealizationofModerateProsperityinAllRespects,GuidanceoftheStateCouncilonAdvancingtheInternetPlusInitiativeandCircularoftheStateCouncilonPrintingandIssuingtheActionOutlineforPromotingBigDataDevelopment,andisofcrucialimportancetoreviewthe12thFYPperiodandplanforagriculturaldevelopmentinthe13thFYPperiod.ThebasicconclusionoftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025)isthebaselineprojectionmadebyexpertsandrelevantsectors,adoptingtheChinaAgriculturalMonitoringandEarly-warningSystem(CAMES),developedbytheAgriculturalMonitoringandEarly-warningTeamofAgriculturalInformationInsituteofCAAS,onthebasisoftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2015-2024),takingintoconsiderationdevelopmentsofmarket,policy,climateandmacroeconomicsofthepreviousyear,andbasedonspecificassumptionsofmacroeconomics,agriculturalpolicies,climateconditions,innovationofscienceandtechnology,resourceendowmentandchangesofinternationalmarkets.BaselinedatamainlycomesfromstatisticsreleasedbyChinastatisticsdepartmentsandtheagriculturalmarketmonitoringdatareleasedbyagriculturaldepartments,andalsoincludesfieldinvestigationdataaccumulatedbyrelevantresearchinstitutions.TheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025),inparticular,reviewedthesituationofagriculturalmarketinChinaduringthe12thFYPperiod,madeprojectionsonthefeaturesandtrendoftheoperationofChina'sagriculturalmarketduringthe13thFYPperiod,thuswillprovideimportantreferenceforthedevelopmentandimplementationofthenewFYP.TheMarketEarlyWarningExpertCommitteeofMOAreviewedandapprovedthebasicconclusionoftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025).TheCommitteeiscomposedofexpertsandacademiciansfromthefollowingentities:DepartmentofAgriculturalEconomy,NDRC,DepartmentofEconomyandTrade,NDRC,AcademyofMacroeconomicResearch,NDRC,CirculationIndustryPromotionCenter,MOFCOM,ChinaNationalGrainandOilsInformationCenter,RenminUniversityofChina,ChineseAcademyofSocialSciences(CASS),UniversityofInternationalBusinessandEconomics,ShanghaiJiaoTongUniversity,DepartmentofSectoralPolicyandLaw,MOA,DepartmentofMarketandEconomicInformation,MOA,DepartmentofDevelopmentandPlanning,MOA,DepartmentofCropProduction,MOA,DepartmentofAnimalProduction,MOA,FisheriesBureau,MOA,RuralEconomyResearchCenter,MOA,InformationCenter,MOA,AgriculturalTradePromotionCenter,MOA,InstituteofAgriculturalEconomicsandDevelopment,CAAS,andAgricultureInformationInstitute,CAAS.ExpertsofthesystemofindustrialtechnologiesofmodernagriculturehavemadeimportantcontributionstotheOutlookReportintermsoftheprovisionofdataandthediscussionandrevisionofOutlookconclusions.EverychapteroftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025)hasbeenbasedonyearsofstudyofproductanalystsandthedistillationoftheirhardworkandwisdom.Tob
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