The Black Swan：Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility"

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北京朝阳

认证卖家担保交易快速发货售后保障

作者Nassim Nicholas Taleb（纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布）著

出版社Random House

出版时间2010-05

版次1

装帧平装

货号13（4）

上书时间2024-09-16

已实名已认证进店收藏店铺

【内容简介】: Ablackswanisanevent,positiveornegative,thatisdeemedimprobableyetcausesmassiveconsequences.Inthisgroundbreakingandpropheticbook,TalebshowsinaplayfulwaythatBlackSwaneventsexplainalmosteverythingaboutourworld,andyetwe—especiallytheexperts—areblindtothem.Inthissecondedition,Talebhasaddedanewessay,OnRobustnessandFragility,whichofferstoolstonavigateandexploitaBlackSwanworld.
【作者简介】: NassimNicholasTalebhasdevotedhislifetoimmersinghimselfinproblemsofluck,randomness,humanerror,probability,andthephilosophyofknowledge.Hemanagedtotransformhisinterestsintothreesuccessfulcareers,asamanofletters,businessman-trader-riskmanager,anduniversityprofessor.Althoughhespendsmostofhistimeasaflaneur,meditatingincafésacrosstheplanet,heiscurrentlyDistinguishedProfessoratNewYorkUniversity'sPolytechnicInstituteandPrincipalofUniversa.HisbooksFooledbyRandomnessandTheBlackSwanhavebeenpublishedin31languages.Heiswidelyrecognizedastheforemostthinkeronprobabilityanduncertainty.TaleblivesmostlyinNewYork.
【目录】: Prologue

PART ONE:UMBERTO ECO'ANTILIBRARY,OR HOW WE VALIDATION

PART TOW:WE JUST CAN'T PREDICT

PART THREE:THOSE GRAY SWANS OF EXTREMISTAN

PART FOUR:THE END

POSTSCRIPT ESAY:ON ROBUSTNESS AND FRAGILITY,DEEPER PHILOSOPHLCALAND EMPLRICAL REFLECTILONS

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