1.New Trend of the Global Petroleum & Chemical Industry in the Next 10 Years/ 6
Trend No.1:The rapid rise of emerging markets will encourage the continued rapid growth of the global petroleum & chemical consumer market/ 7
Trend No.2:The diversification of raw materials will accelerate,promoting global energy and raw materials structures to change significantly/ 9
Trend No.3:Highend and differentiated developments will deepen,extending the industry to the highend value chain continuously/ 12
Trend No.4:The increasing strictness of safety and environmental constraints will make green lowcarbon a new direction for the industry development/ 14
Trend No.5:Intertwined development of global economic integration and regional trade facilitation will increase the uncertainty of petroleum & chemical products in international trade/ 16
2.Challenges to China’s Petroleum & Chemical Industry in the Next 10 Years/ 18
(A)A relatively low industrial level and outstanding surplus as a contradiction to the bulk of basic products/ 19
(B)An imperfect innovation system and the urgent need to enhance the capacity for technological innovation/ 20
(C)Further aggravated resource constraints and the increasing costs of production factors/ 21
(D)The continuously increasing pressures of safety and environmental responsibility,together with the urgent need to improve the industry’s image/ 22
(E)An imperfect market institutional mechanism and improper macromanagement by the government/ 23
3.New Opportunities of China’s Petroleum & Chemical Industry in the Next 10 Years/ 24
(A)China’s population will continue to grow,and the consumption level will constantly improve/ 25
(B)Urbanization will be further promoted,stimulating China’s domesticdemand market to continue optimizing and upgrading/ 25
(C)The process of industrialization will accelerate,providing a larger platform for the development of chemical materials and products/ 26
(D)Agricultural modernization will accelerate the transformation of the agricultural development mode,creating a new development space for pesticides,fertilizers and other chemical industry products/ 27
(E)Economic reform will deepen comprehensively,injecting new impetus and vigor into the petroleum & chemical industry’s development/ 28
(F)Global economic integration will be further promoted,providing a broader international development space for China’s petroleum & chemical industry/ 28
4.The Development Direction and Priority of China’s Petroleum & Chemical Industry in the Next 10 Years/ 30
(A)Actively promote the system of technological innovation and improve the technological innovation capacity of enterprises/ 31
(B)Promote the optimization and upgrading of the bulk of petroleum & chemical products,and spur the industry to further enhance industrial competitiveness/ 32
(C)Cultivate new industries in order to promote highend,differentiated, green development of the petroleum & chemical industry/ 35
(D)Focus on cuttingedge technology to prepare for the sustainable development of the petroleum & chemical industry/ 40
5.Policy Recommendations/ 42
(A)Create a fair and equitable market environment/ 43
(B)Increase the transparency and stability of policy/ 44
(C)Strengthen the enforcement of laws and regulations/ 44
(D)Endeavor to improve the social image of the chemical industry/ 45
(E)Strengthen the protection of intellectual property/ 46
(F)Make good use of industry associations/ 46
Interview Summaries
Ⅰ.Viewpoints Summary of Kurt Bock,Chairman of Executive Directors Board of BASF SE, and Andrew Liveris,Chairman and CEO of Dow Chemical Company/ 51
Ⅱ.BMS China Strategy:Follow Current Trends to Grasp Opportunities in Next Decade—Viewpoints Summary of Wolfgang Miebach,President of Bayer MaterialScience China/APAC/ 54
Ⅲ.Seeking for greater competitiveness in innovation—Viewpoints Summary of Mark Oberle,Senior Vice President of Celanese/ 61
Ⅳ.Sustainable Growth Through Strategic Innovation—Viewpoints Summary of Dr.Peter Nagler,Chief Innovation Officer of Evonik Industries AG,and Dr.Hong Zhong,Senior Vice President & General Manager, Coatings & Additives, Asia Pacific, Evonik Industries/ 64
Ⅴ.Strategies and Experiences of Japanese Petrochemical Industry to Resolve Overcapacity/ 72
Ⅵ.Focusing on Innovation and Operational Excellence—Viewpoints Summary of Michael Zhu, Great China Country General Manager of Solvay/ 77
Ⅶ.Further Liberalization for Chemical Trade—Viewpoints Summary of Peng Ningke, Director, International Government Affairs of Dow Chemical/ 82
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