{正版现货新书} 健全高水平开放下粮食安全保障体系研究 9787030818881 朱晶

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北京丰台

作者朱晶

出版社中国科技出版传媒股份有限公司

ISBN9787030818881

出版时间2024-07

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开本B5

定价298元

货号18182355

上书时间2025-12-11

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作为通讯作者、第一作者发表论文105篇，其中SCI检索2篇、SSCI检索17篇、CSSCI检索60篇、其他核心期刊检索26篇。如被SCI及SSCI收录，请注明期刊影响因子及Q区。

目录
目录

开篇审时度势研判粮食安全新挑战

第1章绪论

1.1 研究背景与意义/003

1.2 国内外研究现状/011

1.3 研究目标、分析框架及可能的创新/023

第2章我国粮食供求变化与高水平开放下粮食安全新格局

2.1 消费端：提档升级且峰值未至/034

2.2 生产端：能力提升但压力加大/044

2.3 贸易端：重要性上升且引入新风险/056

2.4 高水平开放下粮食安全新格局/067

2.5 本章小结/077

第3章高水平开放格局下的粮食安全新挑战

3.1 我国农业对外开放阶段与特征/079

3.2 高水平开放给我国粮食安全带来新挑战/085

012 健全高水平开放下粮食安全保障体系研究

3.3 新挑战下亟须树立粮食安全新思维/094

3.4 高水平开放格局下完善我国粮食安全保障体系/099

3.5 本章小结/111

上篇立足国内优化粮食支持保护政策体系

第4章我国粮食支持保护政策演进与新时期转型需求

4.1 我国粮食支持保护政策的演进历程/115

4.2 我国粮食支持保护政策主要工具的实施及效果/123

4.3 高水平开放下我国粮食支持保护政策的转型压力与调整思路/146

4.4 本章小结/150

第5章中美农业国内支持争端与我国主粮价格支持政策的合规性压力

5.1 WTO 关于市场价格支持补贴的相关规则/153

5.2 我国主粮价格支持政策的合规性压力：DS511 案及其影响/157

5.3 国际规则约束下我国主粮价格支持政策的调整及可能的优化策略/168

5.4 本章小结/173

第6章 WTO框架下我国主粮农业保险政策的国际规则适应性

6.1 WTO关于农业保险补贴政策的相关规则/176

6.2 我国农业保险政策与国际规则的适应性：基于试点方案的分析/188

6.3 国际规则约束下我国主粮保险补贴政策的调整及可能优化策略/206

6.4 本章小结/210

第7章我国粮食价格支持政策转型方案与影响模拟

7.1 粮食价格支持政策调整的实践探索与潜在挑战/213

7.2 政策转型的模拟方案设定与评估方法/218

7.3 政策转型可能方案的影响模拟/229

7.4 本章小结/236

第8章粮食支持保护政策转型的国际经验及在我国的适用性分析

8.1 欧盟：多重目标兼顾的政策体系/239

8.2 美国：全面风险管控的政策体系/256

8.3 日本：保障粮食自给力的政策体系/267

8.4 国际粮食支持保护政策转型经验在我国的适用性分析/283

8.5 本章小结/295

中篇放眼国际强化粮食进口风险防控体系

第9章我国粮食进口新格局与外部风险防范需求分析

9.1 全球粮食市场变化与我国粮食进口新格局/300

9.2 新格局下我国粮食进口面临的外部风险/313

9.3 防范粮食进口外部风险的思路与方向/321

014 健全高水平开放下粮食安全保障体系研究

9.4 本章小结/324

第10章外部风险对我国粮食安全的影响：以中美经贸摩擦为例

10.1 中美贸易关系演变及农产品贸易依存度/327

10.2 中美经贸摩擦及其对我国农产品进口影响的典型事实/332

10.3 中美经贸摩擦对我国粮食安全影响的量化评估/346

10.4 本章小结/362

第11章外部风险对我国粮食安全的影响：以俄乌冲突为例

11.1 俄乌两国对全球及我国粮食贸易的重要性分析/365

11.2 俄乌冲突对全球及我国粮食安全影响的基本研判/370

11.3 出口限制视角下俄乌冲突对我国粮食进口的潜在影响评估/385

11.4 本章小结/392

第12章相互依赖视角下粮食进口来源多元化的思路与策略

12.1 市场供需主体相互依赖与进口来源地布局/395

12.2 优化重点品种来源地布局的可行性分析/399

12.3 相互依赖视角下我国粮食进口来源地布局优化：

以大豆为例/403

12.4 本章小结/420

第13章产品替代视角下食物进口种类多元化的思路与策略

13.1 多元化食物进口格局与粮食安全保障能力提升/423

13.2 优化多元食物进口品种结构的可行性分析/429

13.3 多元化食物进口对粮食安全的潜在影响评估：以扩大肉类进口为例/445

13.4 构建多元化食物进口格局防范外部风险的对策建议/460

13.5 本章小结/463

下篇合作共赢推动构建全球粮农治理新体系

第14章农业贸易治理体系与全球粮食安全：转型压力与改革需求

14.1 全球农业贸易治理体系与粮食安全/468

14.2 全球农业贸易治理体系面临的失序困境/473

14.3 粮食安全风险与全球农业贸易治理体系改革需求/481

14.4 本章小结/489

第15章 WTO农业谈判中粮食安全公共储备议题的演进、争议与前景

15.1 WTO农业谈判中粮食安全问题的演进历程/491

15.2 粮食安全公共储备巴厘决议的成果及其局限性/504

15.3 粮食安全公共储备永久性解决方案所面临的挑战/511

15.4 粮食安全公共储备议题的谈判前景展望/519

15.5 本章小结/523

016 健全高水平开放下粮食安全保障体系研究

第16章 WTO农业国内支持规则谈判利益分歧与改革动向

16.1 农业国内支持规则改革主要分歧和关键诉求/525

16.2 凯恩斯集团最新改革主张及其影响分析/531

16.3 凯恩斯集团提案存在的问题及发展中成员主张/548

16.4 WTO农业国内支持改革方向与路径/559

16.5 本章小结/562

第17章农产品出口限制规则的争议问题与改革思路

17.1 全球农产品出口限制措施的特征及影响/565

17.2 WTO农产品出口限制规则及其争议问题/573

17.3 WTO农产品出口限制规则的谈判进展及改革思路/579

17.4 本章小结/589

第18章新格局下中国参与全球粮食安全治理体系的角色定位与发展构想

18.1 百年变局下全球粮食安全面临的重大挑战/592

18.2 全球粮食安全治理的中国实践与发展转型/597

18.3 中国深度参与全球粮食安全治理的角色定位与

未来展望/610

18.4 本章小结/616

参考文献/617

索引/659

CONTENTS

PROLOGUE: ASSESSING THE SITUATION: IDENTIFYING

NEW CHALLENGES TO FOOD SECURITY IN CHINA

CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION

1.1 Research Background and Research Significance/003

1.2 Overview of Domestic and International Researches/011

1.3 Research Objectives, Analytical Frameworks and Possible Innovations/023

CHAPTER 2 CHANGING DYNAMICS IN CHINA’S FOOD SUPPLY AND DEMAND AND THE NEW ANDSCAPE OF FOOD SECURITY IN THE ERA OF HIGH-LEVEL GLOBALIZATION

2.1 Consumption: Upgrading and Continuous Growth/034

2.2 Production: Enhanced Capability with Mounting Pressure/044

2.3 Trade: Rising Importance and Emerging Risks/056

2.4 New Food Security Landscape in the Era of High-Level Globalization/067

2.5 Summary/077

CHAPTER 3 NEW CHALLENGES TO CHINA’S FOOD SECURITY IN THE ERA OF HIGH-LEVEL GLOBALIZATION

3.1 Phases and Characteristics of China’s Agricultural Opening-up/079

3.2 Emerging Challenges to China’s Food Security in the Era of High-Level Globalization/085

3.3 The Need for New Food Security Strategy amidst New Challenges/094

3.4 Strengthening China’s Food Security System in the Era of High-Level Globalization/099

3.5 Summary/111

PART I: ON DOMESTIC PRODUCTION: OPTIMIZING CHINA ’S FOOD PRODUCTION SUPPORT POLICY SY STEM

CHAPTER 4 EVOLUTION OF CHINA’S PRODUCTION SUPPORT POLICIES FOR STAPLE FOODS AND TRANSFORMATION REQUIREMENTS IN NEW ERA

4.1 Historical Evolution of China’s Production Support Policies for Staple Foods/115

4.2 Implementation and Impact of China’s Major Production Support Policy Measures for Staple Foods/123

4.3 Transformation Pressure and Adaptation Strategies for China’s Food Production Support Policies in the Era of High-Level Globalization/146

4.4 Summary/150

CHAPTER 5 CHINA-US AGRICULTURAL DOMESTIC SUPPORT DISPUTES AND COMPLIANCE PRESSURE ON CHINA’S STAPLE FOOD PRICE SUPPORT POLICIES

5.1 WTO Rules on Market Price Support Subsidies/153

5.2 Compliance Pressure on China’s Staple Food Price Support Policies: The DS511 Case and Its Implications/157

5.3 Adjustment and Optimization Strategies for China’s Staple Food Price Support Policies under WTO Rules/168

5.4 Summary/173

CHAPTER 6 ADAPTABILITY OF CHINA’S AGRICULTURAL INSURANCE POLICIES FOR STAPLE FOODS UNDER WTO RULES

6.1 WTO Rules on Agricultural Insurance Subsidy Policies/176

6.2 Adaptability of China’s Agricultural Insurance Policies under WTO Rules:Analysis of A Pilot Program/188

6.3 Adjustment and Optimization Strategies for China’s Staple Food Insurance Subsidy Policies under International Rules/206

6.4 Summary/210

CHAPTER 7 TRANSFORMATION PLANS AND IMPACT SIMULATIONS OF CHINA’S FOOD PRICE SUPPORT POLICIES

7.1 Exploratory Practices and Potential Challenges in Transforming Staple Food Price Support Policies/213

7.2 Modeling and Evaluation Methods for Policy Transition/218

7.3 Impact Simulations of Alternative Policy Transition Plans/229

7.4 Summary/236

CHAPTER 8 INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCES IN TRANSFORMING FOOD PRODUCTION SUPPORT POLICIES AND APPLICABILITY TO CHINA

8.1 The EU: The Policy System Incorporating Multiple Objectives/239

8.2 The U.S.: The Policy System with Comprehensive Risk Management/256

8.3 Japan: The Policy System Ensuring Food Self-Supply Capacity/267

8.4 Applicability of International Experiences to China’s Transformation of Food Production Support Policies/283

8.5 Summary/295

PART II: GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE: STRENGTHENING RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM FOR CHINA’S FOOD IMPORTS CHAPTER 9 CHINA’S EVOLVING FOOD IMPORT LANDSCAPE AND THE NEED FOR EXTERNAL RISK MANAGEMENT

9.1 Global Food Market Dynamics and New Landscape of China’s Food Imports/300

9.2 External Risks to China’s Food Imports in the New Era/313

9.3 Strategies and Directions for Managing External Risks to China’s Food Imports/321

9.4 Summary/324

CHAPTER 10 IMPACT OF EXTERNAL RISKS ON CHINA’S FOOD SECURITY: A CASE STUDY OF THE SINO-US TRADE FRICTIONS

10.1 Evolution of Sino-US Trade Relations and Agricultural Trade Dependence/327

10.2 Stylized Facts on the Sino-US Trade Disputes and Impact on China’s Agricultural Imports/332

10.3 Quantitative Assessment of the Impact of Sino-US Trade Frictions on China’s Food Security/346

10.4 Summary/362

CHAPTER 11 IMPACT OF EXTERNAL RISKS ON CHINA’S FOOD SECURITY: A CASE STUDY OF THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT

11.1 Significance of Russia and Ukraine in Global and China’s Food Trade/365

11.2 Primary Assessment of the Impact of Russia-Ukraine Conflict on Global and China’s Food Security/370

11.3 Evaluating the Potential Impact of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict on China’s Food Imports from the Perspective of Export Restrictions/385

11.4 Summary/392

CHAPTER 12 CHINA’S FOOD IMPORT SOURCE DIVERSIFICATION STRATEGIES FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF TRADE INTERDEPENDENCE

12.1 Supply-Demand Interdependence and Geographic Allocation of Import Sources/395

12.2 Feasibility Analysis of Optimizing Import Sources of Critical Food Products/399

12.3 Geography Optimization of Import Sources for China’s Food Import from the Perspective of Trade Interdependence: A Case Study of Soybeans/403

12.4 Summary/420

CHAPTER 13 STRATEGIES FOR DIVERSIFYING CHINA’S FOOD IMPORT VARIETIES FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF PRODUCT SUBSTITUTION

13.1 Food Import Diversification and Its Role in Strengthening Food Security/423

13.2 Feasibility Analysis of Optimizing Food Imports by Variety Patterns/429

13.3 Assessment of the Potential Impacts of Import Diversification on China’s Food Security: A Case Study of Expanding Meat Imports/445

13.4 Policy Recommendations for Building a Diversified Food Import Framework for External Risks Management/460

13.5 Summary/463

PART III: WIN-WIN COOPERATION: ADVANCING TOWARD A NEW GLOBAL AGRICULTURAL GOVERNANCE SYSTEM

CHAPTER 14 AGRICULTURAL TRADE GOVERNANCE SYSTEM AND GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY: TRANSFORMATION PRESSURE AND REFORM NEEDS

14.1 Global Agricultural Trade Governance System and Food Security/468

14.2 Disorder and Challen