中国农业展望报告
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作者农业农村部市场预警专家委员会 著
出版社中国农业科学技术出版社
ISBN9787511635860
出版时间2018-04
装帧平装
开本16开
定价760元
货号1201692877
上书时间2024-09-06
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作者简介
农业部市场预警专家委员会是2011年11月28日成立的，针对近年来农产品市场波动比较大的现状，为更好地应对和预警，农业部研究决定成立的。委员会的任务是密切关注靠前外农产品市场运行情况，及时提出政策建议，还要从稳定农产品市场和促进农民增收出发，适时、主动回应和引导社会舆论。农业部市场预警专家委员会，首批确定了10名委员，聘期为5年。要求专家必须熟悉和掌握我国国民经济运行情况、国家宏观经济政策、农业政策及理论等，能够独立承担和完成专题研究任务。
目录
Chapter 1 Overview
1.1 Environment ofmacroeconomic and so development in the future ten years
1.1.1 Chinese economy will switch to high quality growth
1.1.2 Chinas population will continue to grow
1.1.3 Consumer price index will fluctuate moderately
1.1.4 Crude price will rise mildly
1.1.5 Income of urban and rural residents will keep rising
1.1.6 RMB currency value will remain basically stable
1.2 Environment and conditions for Chinas agricultural development in the future ten years
1.2.1 Agricultural development policies will keep on strengthening and improving
1.2.2 Quality improvement and efficiency gains in agriculture will enjoy better conditions
1.2.3 Agricultural development will face multiple pressure and challenges
1.2.4 Uncertainties in agricultural development will increase
1.3 Development trend of Chinas agricultural market in the future ten years
1.3.1 Comprehensive agridultural production capacity will strengthen steadily and high-quality development will make significant progress
1.3.2 Consumption of agricultural products will maintain a relatively rapid growth and consumptionn structure will trend for transformation and upgrading
1.3.3 Agricultural trade will remain active and domestic and foreign markets and resources will be fully utilized
1.3.4 Regulating mechanisms of agricultural markets will improve continuously and market prices will remain moderately volatile
Chapter 2 Cereals
2.1 Rice
2.1.1 Market situation review for 2017
2.1.1.1 Output increased steadily to a record high
2.1.1.2 Consumption increased steadily and industrial use 6onsumption grew
2.1.1.3 Imports rose steadily and exports increased by a greater extent
2.1.1.4 Domestic price was generally stable
2.1.2 Market trend estimates for the next 10 years
2.1.2.1 General outlook
2.1.2.2 Production outlook
2.1.2.3 Consumption outlook
2.1.2.4 Trade outlook
2.1.2.5 Price outlook
2.2 Wheat
2.2.1 Market situation review for 2017
2.2.1.1 Wheat output recovered
2.2.1.2 Total wheat consumption dropped slightly
2.2.1.3 Overall price of wheat was higher than the previous year
2.2.1.4 Wheat import and export increased
2.2.2 Market trend estimates for the next 10 years
2.2.2.1 General outlook
2.2.2.2 Production outlook
2.2.2.3 Consumption outlook
2.2.2.4 Trade outlook
2.2.2.5 Price outlook
2.3 Corn
2.3.1 Market situation review for 2017
2.3.1.1 Corn acreage kept declining
2.3.1.2 Corn consumption grew rapidly
2.3.1.3 Overall corn price was lower than 2016
2.3.1.4 Import of corn and main substitutes declined
2.3.2 Market trend estimates for the next 10 years
2.3.2.1 General outlook
2.3.2.2 Production outlook
2.3.2.3 Consumption outlook
2.3.2.4 Trade outlook
2.3.2.5 Price outlook
Chapter 3 Oilseeds
Chapter 4 Cotton
Chapter 6 Vegetables
Chapter 7 Fruit
Chapter 8 Meat
Chapter 9 Poultry Eggs
Chapter 10 Dairy Products
Chapter 11 Aquatic Products
Chapter 12 Feed
Annex
内容摘要
农业农村部市场预警专家委员会著的《中国农业展望报告（2018―2027）》以中国粮食、棉花、油料、糖料、蔬菜、水果、肉类、禽蛋、奶制品、水产品、饲料等产品为对象，对2017年市场形势进行了回顾，基于未来10年宏观经济社会发展与农业发展环境条件的合理假设，综合CAMES模型基线预测和有关专家的分析判断，对重要时间节点2018年和2020年及未来10年生产、消费、贸易、价格走势进行了系统展望。
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