地震是可以预报的
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作者赵得秀,强祖基 主编
出版社西北工业大学出版社
ISBN9787561251515
出版时间2016-11
装帧平装
开本16开
定价86元
货号1201470977
上书时间2024-06-14
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作者简介
赵得秀，male，born in January 1925，a native Province，professor-level senior engineer （retired） of Water Resources Research Institute of Henan Province.He graduated from the Department of Hydraulic Engineering，Academy of Engineering of National Central University in 1948，entered former Ministry of Water Resources as an engineering technician in the same year.Served as Branch Committee member，secretary of Engineering Institute of Central University of the underground party of CPC in Nanjing City； leader of underground group of CPC in former Ministry of Water Resources.Successively served as assistant military representative of Ministry of Water Resources of the Nanjing Military Control Commission，deputy chief of Ministry of Water Resources of the Nanjing Military Control Commission and Ministry of Water Resources in East China，section chief of Engineering Department of Committee of Harnessing Huai River，deputy director，division chief of Henan Headquarters of Harnessing Huai River，Department of Water Resources of Henan Province，etc.He had long been engaged in control of lower reaches of the Yellow River and research of solar eclipse，earthquakes，the relationship between earthquake and disasters of flood and drought，proposed that solar eclipse and earthquake is the main causes of affecting atmospheric circulation movement，forming flood and drought disasters，and forecasted ultra long range weather with mathematical simulation method，which created a new way for long range weather forecast （patented）.Besides that，he also had written The Solar Eclipse and Flood and Drought Disasters （co-authored，1992），Chinese Calendar （1996），First Exploration of Control River （first edition in 1996，second edition in 2005），Earthquake Exploration and Prediction （2007）.
强祖基，male，born in April 1932.He was Fuzhou No.1 high school of the 1950 spring graduation.He graduated from the Geology Prospecting Department of Beijing Geology College in 1953，and China's first graduate school of Geology and structural geology graduated 1956 and obtained Ph.D in geology mineralogy from Moscow State University （the former Soviet Union） in 1961.From 1999 to 2000，he was a visiting scholar at the Department of Geology，Ohio Bowling Green State University.In 1995，he was appointed by the Department of Urban and Environment，Peking University as a postdoctoral advisor.In 1986，he won the State Seismological Bureau of Science and Technology Progress Award.In 1990，he found that the satellite thermal infrared brightness temperature anomaly prior to earthquakes——hot and cold field.He pioneered several new methods of studying current tectonic movement and impending earthquake prediction.From 1994 to 2003，he was one of the International Astronautic Federation Satellite Disaster Reduction Committee members.From 1995 to 2000，he was a senior expert adviser of the China Aerospace Industry Corporation.From 1995 to 1998，he was a 4th earthquake prediction committee member in China Seismological Society.In 1995，1999，2004 and 2009，he was a Chinese geophysical society natural disaster prediction professional committee.In 2005，he was a Chinese Earthquake Prediction Advisory Committee member.In 2004，2008 and 2012，he was in Chinese High-tech Industry Research Association.
目录
Chapter 1 Earthquake Has Precursors and Can Be Predictable
1.1 Chinese earthquake prediction is at the forefront of the world
1.2 The earthquake prediction in our country must walk road of precursory
observation, combining the efforts of both professional and masses,
mass observation and mass prevention, independent innovation
1.3 The solar eclipse is main cause of main earthquake
References
Chapter 2 Forecasting Methods of Short-term and Impending Earthquake with Harmonie Resonance Waves Driven by Tidal Forces (HRT)
2.1 Physical basis of formation mechanism, pattern and receiving method of HRT wave
2.2 PS100 HRT wave recording instrument
2.3 Analysis of seismic HRT wave of Indonesian earthquake of Ms 9, HRT wave
of other earthquake examples, and the quantitative relationship with three
elements of future strong earthquake -- the cases of HRT wave precursor
received by PS100 stations from hypocenter (the original record of station)
2.4 Conclusion
References
Chapter 3 Observation of Ionospheric Variations Before Earthquakes
3.1 Brief introduction
3.2 The earth ionosphere
3.3 Ionospheric anomalies before Wenchuan earthquake
3.4 The progress in seismo-ionospheric research
3.5 Highlight the monitoring of ionosphere and electromagnetic effect
3.6 Further consideration
3.7 Summary
References
Chapter 4 Earthquake Predication in Short-term and Imminent using Satellite Thermal Fields and Tectonic Analysis Method
4.1 The practice of short-term and imminent earthquake prediction using satellite thermal infrared technique(1)
4.2 The practice of short-term and imminent earthquake prediction using satellite thermal infrared technique(2)
4.3 Case study of recent successful earthquake predictions
4.4 Earthquake prediction and thermal stress field (hot and cold) as revealed in satellite thermal infrared images
Chapter 5 Prior-earthquake Observation with YRY-4 Four-component Borehole Strainmeter
5.1 Seeing necessity of construction of intensive strain observation network
from strain anomalies observed with component strainmeter before and
after Wenchuan earthquake on May 12
5.2 The cautious and optimistic prospect of large earthquake prediction seen from strain precursors in Wenchuan earthquake
References
Chapter 6 Abnormalities of Earth Resistivity Before Large Earthquake
6.1 The fundamental principle of earth resistivity observation
6.2 Division of station far from and near epicenter
6.3 Abnormal change of earth resistivity in Wenchuan earthquake of Ms 8
6.4 Abnormal change of earth resistivity in Tangshan earthquake of Ms 7.8 and other earthquakes that are stronger than Ms 7.0
6.5 Abnormal characteristic of nearby and far field in large earthquake
References
Chapter 7 Dynamic Anomaly of Underground Fluid Is Powerful Weapon for Earthquake Prediction
7.1 Great improved space of Chinas earthquake prediction ability
7.2 Dynamic anomaly of underground fluid is powerful weapon for earthquake prediction
7.3 Prediction earthquake method with dynamic anomaly of underground fluid
Chapter 8 Simple Geoelectric Observation
8.1 Simple geoeleetric observation
8.2 Observation of impending earthquake anomaly with simple geoelectricity References
Chapter 9 Prospect of Earthquake Prediction Model of Solar Eclipse-Earthquake Effect
References
内容摘要
本书是从地震前兆的观察方面来探讨地震预报这一关系到群众安危的重大科学课题。我国在地震前兆观察上如地电（潮汐力谐振共振波）、电离层、热红外、YRY-4型四分量钻孔应变仪、GPS（优选定位系统）高采样率单历元解计算地壳运动的理论与设备方面均有重大突破，本书对上述内容进行详细阐述，并提出要开展群测群防工作，专群结合。本书提出日食是引起地震的主要原因，并提出了地震数学模拟的设想。
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