中国农业展望报告(2019-2028)
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￥ 364.74 5.4折 ￥ 670 全新
库存4件
北京东城
认证卖家担保交易快速发货售后保障
作者农业农村部市场预警专家委员会
出版社中国农业科学技术出版社
ISBN9787511640949
出版时间2019-04
装帧平装
开本16开
定价670元
货号1201886312
上书时间2024-08-26
商品详情
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作者简介
农业部市场预警专家委员会是2011年11月28日成立的，针对近年来农产品市场波动比较大的现状，为更好地应对和预警，农业部研究决定成立的。委员会的任务是密切关注靠前外农产品市场运行情况，及时提出政策建议，还要从稳定农产品市场和促进农民增收出发，适时、主动回应和引导社会舆论。农业部市场预警专家委员会，首批确定了10名委员，聘期为5年。要求专家必须熟悉和掌握我国国民经济运行情况、国家宏观经济政策、农业政策及理论等，能够独立承担和完成专题研究任务。
目录
Chapter 1 Overview
1.1 Report preparation
1.1.1 Preparation process
1.1.2 Technical support for the Report
1.2 Macroeconomic assumptions
1.2.1 Economic development
1.2.2 Demographic change
1.2.3 Urbanization process
1.2.4 Resident income and consumption
1.2.5 International crude price
1.2.6 RMB exchange rate
1.3 Assumptions of agricultural production conditions
1.3.1 Agricultural labor
1.3.2 Farmland resources
1.3.3 Water resources
1.3.4 Meteorological conditions
1.3.5 Agricultural science and technology
1.3.6 Agricultural policies
1.4 Main conclusions
1.4.1 Production outlook
1.4.2 Consumption outlook
1.4.3 Trade outlook
1.4.4 Price outlook
Chapter 2 Cereals
2.1 Rice
2.1.1 General outlook
2.1.2 Production outlook
2.1.3 Consumption outlook
2.1.4 Trade outlook
2.1.5 Price outlook
2.2 Wheat
2.2.1 General outlook
2.2.2 Production outlook
2.2.3 Consumption outlook
2.2.4 Price outlook
2.2.5 Trade outlook
2.3 Corn
2.3.1 General outlook
2.3.2 Production outlook
2.3.3 Consumption outlook
2.3.4 Trade outlook
2.3.5 Price outlook
Chapter 3 Oilseeds
3.1 Soybean
3.1.1 General outlook
3.1.2 Production outlook
3.1.3 Consumption outlook
3.1.4 Trade outlook
3.1.5 Price outlook
3.2 Edible oilseeds and vegetable oil
3.2.1 General outlook
3.2.2 Production outlook
3.2.3 Consumption outlook
3.2.4 Trade outlook
3.2.5 Price outlook
Chapter 4 Cotton
4.1 General outlook
4.2 Production outlook
4.3 Consumption outlook
4.4 Trade outlook
4.5 Price outlook
Chapter 5 Sugar
5.1 General outlook
5.2 Production outlook
5.3 Consumption outlook
5.4 Trade outlook
5.5 Price outlook
Chapter 6 Vegetable
6.1 Vegetable
6.1.1 General outlook
6.1.2 Production outlook
6.1.3 Consumption outlook
6.1.4 Trade outlook
6.1.5 Price outlook
6.2 Potato
6.2.1 General outlook
6.2.2 Production outlook
6.2.3 Consumption outlook
6.2.4 Trade outlook
6.2.5 Price outlook
Chapter 7 Fruit
7.1 General outlook
7.2 Production outlook
7.3 Consumption outlook
7.4 Trade outlook
7.5 Price outlook
Chapter 8 Meat
8.1 Pork
8.1.1 General outlook
8.1.2 Production outlook
8.1.3 Consumption outlook
8.1.4 Trade outlook
8.1.5 Price outlook
8.2 Poultry meat
8.2.1 General outlook
8.2.2 Production outlook
8.2.3 Consumption outlook
8.2.4 Trade outlook
8.2.5 Price outlook
8.3 Beef and mutton
8.3.1 General outlook
8.3.2 Production outlook
8.3.3 Consumption outlook
8.3.4 Trade outlook
8.3.5 Price outlook
Chapter 9 Poultry eggs
9.1 General outlook
9.2 Production outlook
9.3 Consumption outlook
9.4 Trade outlook
9.5 Price outlook
Chapter 10 Dairy products
10.1 General outlook
10.2 Production outlook
10.3 Consumption outlook
10.4 Trade outlook
10.5 Price outlook
Chapter 11 Aquatic products
11.1 General outlook
11.2 Production outlook
11.2.1 The total output will rise slightly and the growth will slow down.
11.2.2 The growth rate of aquaculture production will stabilize and the quality of development will improve.
11.2.3 Catch output will gradually decrease and eventually stabilize.
11.3 Consumption outlook
11.4 Trade outlook
11.4.1 Export will remain stable and the growth will slow down.
11.4.2 Import will maintain rapid growth.
11.5 Price outlook
Chapter 12 Feed
12.1 General outlook
12.2 Production outlook
12.3 Consumption outlook
12.4 Price outlook
Annex
Annex 1 Terminology
Annex 2 Assumptions of main indicators of macro socioeconomic development
Annex 3 Balance sheet of main agricultural commodities
内容摘要
2019年中国农业展望大会发布的《中国农业展望报告(2019-2028)》，以粮食、棉花、油料、糖料等主要产品为对象，总结回顾了2018年市场形势，基于中国宏观经济社会发展与农业发展环境条件的合理假设，综合CAMES模型基线预测和有关专家的分析判断，对中国未来10年尤其是2019年、2020年和2025年等重要时间节点的农产品生产、消费、贸易、价格走势进行了展望。
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