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Reassessing the Incumbency Effect（货号TJ）重新评估在职效应

219 25.99 九五品

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作者Jeffrey M. Stonecash

出版社Cambridge University Press

ISBN9780521733229

出版时间2008

版次1

印刷时间2008

印次1

装帧平装

开本23.2*15.5

纸张胶版纸

页数184页

定价25.99元

货号TJ0499-J807-c143

上书时间2022-07-02

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商品描述: 本书为英语原版，平装本，原定价25.99美元，净重290克，馆藏。【图书分类：政治、法律 > 各国政治 > 美国政治 > 政治制度与国家机构 > 政治制度 > 公民权利与义务】Incumbents in the U.S. House of Representatives have presumably increased their vote percentages in recent decades, raising questions about the efficacy of elections in making members responsive. The evidence, however, indicates there has been no improvement in the electoral fortunes of incumbents in the last 50 years. Only Republicans have improved their electoral fortunes as a result of realignment. This valuable book provides a very different interpretation of how incumbents have fared in recent decades, and the interpretation is supported by non-technical data analysis and presentation.

Features：
• Critical analysis of what has happened in House elections
• Unique and non-technical presentation of data
• New explanation of rise of safe seats in the House

Table of Contents：
Part I. An Increased Incumbency Effect: Reconsidering Evidence:
1. An increased incumbency effect and American politics
2. The consensus about a greater incumbency effect
3. The trend in incumbent vote percentages
4. Cumulative career changes
5. The retirement slump
Part II. Realignment and the Fortunes of (Some) Incumbents:
6. An alternative framework: the role of realignment
7. A partisan view of incumbent percentages
8. The role of realignment9. Conclusions and implications
Part III. Appendices: More Detailed Analyses of Incumbency Indicators:
Appendix A. The Gelman-King estimation
Appendix B. Realignment and the retirement slump
Appendix C. The data.

Book Description：
This book argues that the electoral advantage of House incumbents has not increased in recent decades. The interpretation is supported by non-technical data analysis and presentation.

About the Author：
Jeffrey M. Stonecash is Maxwell Professor in the Maxwell School, Syracuse University. He researches political parties, changes in their electoral bases, and how these changes affect political polarization and public policy debates. His recent books are Class and Party in American Politics (2000), Diverging Parties (2002), Political Polling (2003), Parties Matter (2005), and Split: Class and Cultural Divisions in American Politics (2007). He is now working with Mark Brewer on a book about the dynamics of party realignment since 1900. He has done polling and consulting for political candidates since 1985.